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Gold Prices Fall to 7-Month Low as Dollar Strengthens, Attention Turns to US Data

Gold extended losses on Monday for the sixth consecutive session to hit a near seven-month low, as the dollar stayed strong, with traders digesting a key U.S. inflation report as they positioned for a slew of job market data due this week.

Spot gold was down 0.3 per cent to $1,843.67 per ounce by 0325 GMT, its lowest level since March 10. U.S. gold futures shed 0.3 per cent to $1,859.70.

  • Read: Bullion Cues: Bears unleashed

Last week, bullion posted its biggest weekly decline since June 2021 to end the third quarter 3.7 per cent lower.

“The data out of the U.S. is getting softer and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s squeeze is starting to show up in more and more places,” said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.

“If the data starts looking weak this week, gold might find an attempt to carve out a bottom.”

The dollar held near a 10-month high, while Treasury yields were off a 16-year peak.

Underlying U.S. inflation moderated in August, data on Friday showed, with the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, a measure of inflation closely watched by the Federal Reserve, now averaging near its 2 per cent target for the last three months.

New York Fed President John Williams said the central bank may be done with rate rises as inflation pressures, while still elevated, are moving back toward the official target.

Higher rates raise the opportunity cost of holding bullion, which is priced in dollars and does not yield any interest.

Markets see a 45 per cent chance of another rate hike this year, but also a 43 per cent chance of some policy easing in the first half of 2024, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Spot silver slid 1.5 per cent to an over six-month low of$21.82 per ounce, while platinum rose 0.4 per cent to $908.45 and palladium steadied at $1,245.23.

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